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Derek
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What Do Short Sellers Think About Trump Media’s Stock Price? (DJT Short Interest, Overvaluation, and Market Risk: A Real User’s Perspective)

Summary: This article unpacks what short sellers think about Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) stock price, dives into current short interest levels, and explains how the market perceives DJT’s valuation and risk. I’ll mix in real data, personal experience, and a few expert opinions from recognizable sources, so you get a street-level view—not just textbook theory.

What Problem Are We Solving?

If you’re like me, you keep hearing about “DJT” everywhere—on financial Twitter, on Bloomberg, even in random group chats. But the big question is: Does the market think Trump Media is overpriced, and are short sellers piling in to bet on its fall? Here, I’ll walk you through how to check short interest, what it means, and what the smart money (and loud money) are saying about DJT. Plus, I’ll show you how to dig up the data and avoid common mistakes—yes, including some I made the first time I tried this.

Step 1: Checking DJT Short Interest—How I Actually Did It

First things first: “short interest” tells you how many shares are being bet against. High short interest usually means pros think a stock is overvalued or risky. For DJT, I wanted the real numbers, not just rumors.

A. Go Straight to FINRA and NASDAQ

The official short interest is reported twice a month. I googled “DJT short interest NASDAQ” and landed here: NASDAQ DJT Short Interest.

As of late May 2024, the numbers were eye-popping: over 5 million shares shorted, in a float of about 10 million. That’s a short interest ratio above 50%, which is pretty wild for any stock, let alone a new SPAC merger.

NASDAQ DJT Short Interest Screenshot

B. Check Real-Time Borrow Rates (Where It Gets Expensive)

Next, I wanted to see if it’s even possible—or smart—to short DJT right now. I logged into my Interactive Brokers account, searched for “DJT,” and checked the borrow rate. (If you don’t have IBKR, platforms like iBorrowDesk are good too.)

The borrow fee was over 600% annualized. That means it’s insanely expensive to short, which tells you two things: (1) Demand to short is massive; (2) Brokers are running out of shares to lend.

iBorrowDesk DJT Borrow Rate Screenshot

Step 2: What Are Short Sellers Actually Saying?

I hopped onto Twitter/X (search “DJT short interest”), Reddit’s r/wallstreetbets, and even scanned the Bloomberg DJT Short Squeeze Article. One big theme: Many pros think DJT is a “meme stock” with highly questionable fundamentals. But they’re also wary—it moves fast, and the borrow fees are killer.

“DJT is a classic short squeeze candidate. Short sellers are betting it’ll collapse, but with such a thin float and rabid retail buyers, it’s risky to be caught short.” – Bloomberg Markets, April 2024

In one Reddit thread, an apparent hedge fund analyst said: “We modeled DJT as trading at 2,000x revenue. Nuts, but with this float and political news flow, you can’t treat it like a normal company."

Step 3: Is DJT Overvalued? What the Market Data Shows

Quick reality check. By late May 2024, DJT was trading above $50 per share, with a market cap over $6 billion. But the company’s revenue is tiny—just $4 million in 2023, according to its SEC filing. That’s a price-to-sales ratio of over 1,500.

For context, even hot tech stocks like Nvidia trade at a P/S ratio under 50. For a social media startup bleeding money, 1,500 is off the charts. Here’s where the short sellers come in: they see this as classic speculative mania. But they also know meme stocks can defy logic for a long time—see GameStop.

Step 4: The “Short Squeeze” Danger (Personal Anecdote)

I actually tried to short DJT myself in April 2024. I put in the order at $45, but my broker rejected it—“No shares available to borrow.” Later, when shares dipped 15% in a day, I felt lucky. But then, right after, the price bounced back up 25%. It’s a rollercoaster, and most shorts with tight stops get blown out.

A pro trader I know joked: “Shorting DJT is like playing chicken with a meme mob—if you’re not ready to lose your shirt, don’t bother.” The risk is, if the price spikes, shorts are forced to cover at any price, pushing it even higher.

Step 5: What Do Regulators and Market Authorities Say?

The SEC and FINRA both require public disclosure of short interest, and they warn that stocks with low floats and high volatility (like DJT) are prone to manipulation and short squeezes. See: FINRA Short Squeezes & Volatile Markets.

In April 2024, FINRA even put out a reminder about the risks in “thinly traded, heavily shorted meme stocks”—a category DJT fits perfectly.

International Comparison: “Verified Trade” Standards Table

Since DJT is a U.S.-listed stock, let’s look at how “verified trade” rules differ globally. This matters, because shorting rules, disclosure, and market integrity laws vary.

Country Standard Name Legal Basis Enforcement Agency
United States Short Interest Reporting SEC Rules 10a-1/Reg SHO SEC, FINRA
European Union Short Selling Regulation EU Regulation No 236/2012 ESMA, National Regulators
Japan Short Selling Reporting Financial Instruments and Exchange Act FSA, TSE
Australia Short Position Reporting Corporations Act 2001 ASIC

So, a U.S. trader betting against DJT faces strict reporting and potential regulatory scrutiny—more so than in some other markets.

Simulated Case: U.S. vs. EU Short Selling

Imagine a U.S. hedge fund shorting DJT, while a similar fund tries to short a meme stock in Germany. The U.S. fund must publicly report positions over 0.5% of the float, per SEC rules (SEC, 2023). In the EU, ESMA requires even more granular disclosure, and can ban short selling in extreme cases. During the 2021 meme stock craze, France’s AMF even temporarily banned new shorts on certain stocks.

“Short sellers are an important part of market discovery, but they face real-time transparency and can trigger regulatory intervention if volatility spikes.” – ESMA Chair, 2021

Industry Expert Insight: Why DJT Is a Unique Battleground

On “Odd Lots” (Bloomberg podcast), market strategist Jared Dillian said: “DJT combines political fervor, meme behavior, and a micro-float. It’s a short seller’s dream and nightmare. The numbers scream overvaluation, but the crowd can keep it irrational for months.”

Personal Reflection: What I Learned (and What You Should Watch Out For)

Honestly, after trying to short DJT and getting burned, I learned that even when the data is obvious, the trade is not always easy—or profitable. High short interest is a double-edged sword: it shows skepticism, but also creates explosive risk.

If you’re tempted to join the crowd betting against DJT, check the short interest, borrow rates, and watch for squeeze potential. And always read the regulatory warnings—FINRA and the SEC have seen these cycles before, and their advice is worth heeding.

Conclusion and Next Steps

Short sellers see Trump Media’s DJT as massively overvalued, with record-high short interest and eye-watering borrow fees. But that same setup makes it a dangerous short—meme buyers, thin float, and political headlines can cause wild squeezes.

If you want to track DJT’s risk, use official sources like NASDAQ and FINRA for short data, check borrow cost on your broker, and keep an eye on news flow. And if you’re considering a trade, remember: the market can stay crazy longer than you can stay solvent (thanks, Keynes).

Final tip: If you’re new to shorting meme stocks, paper trade first. It’s the only way I survived my first DJT “oops” moment!

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