Ever wondered what actually happens when your Nasdaq 100 futures contract hits expiration? If you've dabbled in index futures trading, you probably know the basics—betting on the direction of the Nasdaq 100 index, usually via CME's E-mini or Micro E-mini contracts. But the nitty-gritty of settlement, especially how your gains or losses are realized, and what you should actually do on expiration day, can be fuzzy. I’ve been through this process myself, stumbled a couple times, and consulted with seasoned traders and official sources to give you a detailed, actionable guide. Plus, given that “verified trade” standards and settlement procedures can differ internationally, I’ll throw in a comparison of how the US, EU, and Asia handle things.
If you’re holding a Nasdaq 100 futures contract (let’s say the CME E-mini symbol NQ), you need to know how to close your position—either before expiry or at expiry. This article covers:
First, the Nasdaq 100 futures (like the CME E-mini NQ) are cash-settled. That means you don’t get actual shares of the 100 stocks at expiry (imagine the chaos). Instead, your profit or loss is settled in cash, based on the final settlement value.
Source: CME Group Official Contract Specs
Nasdaq 100 futures usually expire quarterly (March, June, September, December), on the third Friday of the expiration month. If you’re trading a June contract, for example, check the exact date on CME or your broker’s platform.
Personal note: The first time I held a futures position into expiry, I assumed I’d get a warning or pop-up. Nope. The position just vanished, replaced by a cash adjustment. Surprise!
On expiration day, CME calculates the settlement value based on the Special Opening Quotation (SOQ) of the Nasdaq 100 index. This is calculated from the opening prices of the Nasdaq 100 stocks on that day.
Official reference: See CME’s Special Opening Quotation Methodology.
Expert tip: According to industry veteran Mark Hodge (DailyFX), “If you’re trading close to expiry, be aware that liquidity can thin out and prices can swing, since market makers are squaring up.”
If you do nothing, your contract is automatically settled at the final value. Your account is debited or credited the difference between your entry price and the final settlement price, times the contract multiplier (for E-mini NQ, that’s $20 per point).
Here’s an actual screenshot from my Interactive Brokers account the morning after expiry:
You’ll notice the “realized P&L” line shows the final profit, no open position remains, and the contract symbol disappears from your portfolio.
Common mistake: One time I forgot about the expiry, and my position closed at settlement. The SOQ was a bit different from the closing price the previous day, which cost me about $150. Lesson: If you want to control your exit, close the position yourself before expiration.
US traders: Index futures are subject to Section 1256 of the Internal Revenue Code (60% long-term, 40% short-term capital gains, regardless of how long you hold).
In Europe, check with your local tax authority—rules differ, and sometimes index futures are treated as simple capital gains, sometimes as speculative income.
Always download your monthly account statement after expiry, especially if you’re trading across multiple brokers or currencies.
Not all futures markets settle contracts the same way, and “verified trade” standards—what counts as an official, recognized trade or settlement—vary too.
Country/Region | Name/Type | Legal Basis | Enforcement/Execution Agency |
---|---|---|---|
USA | Cash Settlement (Section 1256 Contracts) | 26 U.S. Code § 1256 | CFTC, CME Clearing |
EU | Cash or Physical, under MiFID II “verified transaction” | MiFID II Regulations | ESMA, National Authorities |
China | Physical Delivery (for some index futures), “Verified Settlement” under CSRC | CSRC Futures Laws | China Securities Regulatory Commission |
Japan | Cash Settlement, JSCC “verified trade” | JSCC Rules | Japan Securities Clearing Corporation |
For example, in Europe under MiFID II, brokers must report “verified trades” to regulators, and settlement can involve a central counterparty. China, on the other hand, sometimes uses actual physical delivery (rare for index futures, more common in commodities), and the CSRC has its own compliance checklists.
Let’s say you’re a US trader, and your friend is trading the Nasdaq 100 (or its equivalent) via Eurex in Germany.
This difference matters if you’re arbitraging or trading cross-border—your broker may ask for extra paperwork, or settlement might take a few more hours/days due to different regulatory “clearing finality” standards.
Industry expert quote: “One common pitfall for multi-jurisdiction traders is assuming all settlements post instantly. In reality, margin releases and finality can differ—always double-check with your broker.” —David B, Head of Derivatives at a London brokerage (from a Bloomberg interview).
Last year, I held a Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 contract into expiry just to see what would happen (honestly, I was lazy). The next morning, my position was gone, and my realized P&L was credited. No drama—unless the SOQ had gapped against me. If you’re picky about your exit price, close out the day before.
Also, one time I tried to roll my contract too late—liquidity dried up, and my slippage was worse than I expected. Lesson learned: roll a few days before expiry, not at the last minute.
If you ever need to prove your trade was “verified” (for tax or compliance), download your statement from your broker, and use the official contract settlement prices published by CME or Eurex. Here are the CME settlement prices: CME Settlement Prices.
In summary, Nasdaq 100 futures are almost always cash-settled at expiry—no shares change hands, just cash. If you want to control your exit, close out before expiry; otherwise, your broker does it for you at the official settlement price. Always check your broker’s statement for realized P&L, and be aware of international differences if you’re trading cross-border.
Next steps: If you’re new to futures, do a dry run with a simulated account (most brokers offer this). Watch out for expiry week volatility, and always double-check the last trading day on the exchange calendar. For official rules, start with the CME contract spec page and the IRS Section 1256 rules.
If you ever get confused—or just want to swap stories about settlement surprises—drop by one of the futures trading forums. My favorite is EliteTrader: Futures Expiry Settlement Surprises. Trust me, you’re not alone.